For awhile now, I’ve been collecting articles on the topic of “processor speed.” By this, I don’t mean that I have a bunch of clippings on new versions of Intel or AMD chips being released, but instead articles that treat the idea of “processor speed” as a philosophical concept. Perhaps this needs some further explanation. There was a guy (who shall remain nameless (unless he comments to this post!)) who I took some psychedelic drugs with in college. And one of these times when he was off in the fifth dimension or whatever, he had a conversation with another friend of ours (it’s not 100% clear whether this conversation actually took place, but that’s not important right now). So the point of this conversation (if I understand it correctly) was that “processor speed” was at the heart of a lot of the big questions that have intrigued humans since the dawn of time. Cognition, perception, communication, etc… And as the maximum processor speed of computers increases exponentially, we are going to see a lot of these kinds of questions turned inside out by the brute force of computation. Now regardless of whether this idea came from a real person, or a hallucinogenic drug or a self-transforming machine elf or whatever, it’s one that’s clearly shared by an increasing number of people. All science has been accelerating exponentially throughout history, the theory goes, and as more scientific disciplines become entangled with information science, the combined exponential growth of science and processor speed leads to some crazy shit e.g. “The Singularity” (which refers to a point in the future which current models of progress are unable to predict, simply because it’s so different from anything in our current experience). Anyway, there’s obviously much more that could be said on the subject, but I’ll let the following few articles (which I came across today) expand on the topic. First, we have two articles from Wired by Kevin Kelly.
This one, from August 2005 tracks the history of the web from it’s theoretical roots in the early 20th century to the present, and attempts to speculate about it’s future. It is truly inspiring to look at the web from this perspective, since even the most creative minds failed to anticipate the growth of self-publishing (via web tools such as blogs, flickr and wiki) as recently as 7 years ago. Instead of becoming a passive channel for producers to reach consumers (i.e. TV 2.0) the web has become a truly bi-directional and collaborative space for the expression of human creativity. (Sorry Pepsi =P) Based on this unprecedented development, Kelly imagines the future of the web as a true collective mind, a global Machine that subsumes human consciousness.
This same idea is explored in more detail in Kelly’s earlier God Is the Machine from December 2002, and is a sort of information technology mirror for the theory of gaian mind which posits that the earth itself (or possibly the entire universe) is a giant computer.
Now depending on how deep you want to crawl into this, it can start to sound like the ramblings of a drug-addled old beardo. Luckily there are some enormous geeks who are working on the issue from a purely scientific standpoint, and one of the geekiest of these is good old Ray Kurzweil. Kurzweil has been researching artificial intellegence, biotech and nano-technology for years, and has come to pretty much the same conclusion as some of your more speculative futurists, e.g. “The Singularity is coming, it’s coming soon, and it’s gonna be crazy.” In fact, the title of his latest book (released today) is: The Singularity Is Near : When Humans Transcend Biology. I was going to post the text of Kurzweil’s article in this week’s NewScientist here, but unfortunately it’s behind a subscription login. (Ironic, since a major thrust of his article is that in the future all information will be transparently available everywhere, all the time.) Anyway, I’ve said enough here. Go read the Kevin Kelly articles, and if you’re intrigued enough, pick up a copy of NewScientist and/or Kurzweil’s book. See you in the future!